Friday, January 8, 2016

Our local Market - WOW!

Image result for WOW
Summerville's real estate is HOT
The real estate market in Charleston and Summerville (actually all 3 counties) in 2015 was awesome and record setting.  It was the 3rd busiest year ever in sales.  We sold 15,486 residential units with a record median sales price of $235,000.  Back in the crazy days of 2007, we sold 18,000 units but the median sales price was only $210,000.  The best news is that we are still undervalued and have lots of room for appreciation.  My trend line back to 1991 shows that we should be above $250,000 right now, but we are still making up lost ground from the recession years of 2008-2011.  Another important note is that prices only increased about 5.5% over 2014.  That’s great, but more importantly it’s reasonable and shows that the tighter lending practices put in place after the recession have been doing their job of keeping things under control.

We set an all time record in the spring with over 400 properties going under contract in one week and repeated that feat 4 times during the spring.  Generally, any time 200 properties go under contract in a week is considered a very good week.  36 of the 52 weeks had over 300 under contract and only the first and last week of the year had under 200.

Our current inventory is very low with less than 5000 homes for sale.  I haven’t seen a number like that since 2007.  At the height of the recession we had over 11,000 homes for sale and were only selling about 8500 per year.  Overall months of inventory(MOI) is below 4.  Six months of inventory represents a balanced market.  So, this is certainly a sellers market. 

People from all over the world are moving here to make Charleston their home.  We’ve gotten a lot of positive press including being voted number one city in the world to visit and number one city in the US for 4 consecutive years.  Boeing has been the big job producer but there is also a new Volvo plant coming.  And the Silicon Harbor label has just gotten stronger with several hundred software companies calling Charleston home.  So, new construction has become very popular to these newcomers since inventory is so low.   And the boundary of our area seems to be going further out with new communities popping up on the outskirts of the edges in Summerville, Mt Pleasant, and rural West Ashley.  If you have not checked our new Summerville Communities such as Nexton, Carnes Crossing, Summer's Corner, etc you should - they are pretty impressive.  New construction now makes up over 41% of what we currently have under contract.  Short sales and foreclosures, leftovers from the recession, are fairly insignificant now.  They only total 4% of our active inventory and only make up about 8% of what’s under contract.

What does 2016 hold in store for us?  I see more of the same as 2015.  Lots of people moving here and lots of new construction.  Maybe we’ll set a record for sales this year with over 18,000 units sold.  I would imagine that median sales price will again rise a modest 5-6%, limited somewhat by the tighter lending practices.  We have a new mayor  here in Summerville and Charleston has a new mayor for the first time in 40 years.  Mayor Joe Riley has left us in the very capable hands of John Tecklenberg and Mayor Collins has been replaced by now Mayor Wiley Johnson.  We have new businesses and restaurants popping up all over town and this means more families will call us "home."  We are so blessed to live in this great town of Summerville and so close to the Holy City of Charleston - America's number one city.

If you'd like to know what your home may be worth, how to stage it better to sell or interested in up-sizing or downsizing let me know and I'd be happy to help you out.

-Jason


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